France Inflation Rate YoY Final

Info

History

Chart

Impact:

Low

Source: INSEE, France

Latest Release:

Date:

Actual:

0.8%

Forecast: 0.8%

Previous/Revision:

0.8%

Period: Apr

Next Release:

Date:

Forecast: 0.7%

Period: May

What Does It Measure?

The France Inflation Rate YoY Final measures the percentage change in the consumer price index (CPI) over the past year, indicating the rate of inflation within the French economy. It primarily focuses on the price changes of a basket of goods and services, assessing key components such as food, housing, transportation, and energy costs, which directly impact consumer purchasing power.

Frequency

This indicator is released monthly and typically provides final figures that reflect the most accurate estimates following preliminary data adjustments, with reports usually published in the first few days of the month.

Why Do Traders Care?

Traders closely monitor the France Inflation Rate as it has significant implications for monetary policy, influencing interest rates set by the European Central Bank (ECB). Higher-than-expected inflation readings can lead to tighter monetary policy, impacting the euro's strength against other currencies, while lower readings may suggest economic weaknesses that could weaken both the currency and equities.

What Is It Derived From?

The France Inflation Rate is derived from a comprehensive survey of consumer prices collected by the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE), which includes data from thousands of retail locations across the country. The calculation uses a basket of goods and services weighted according to their importance in the average consumer's budget, applying standard economic methodologies to produce the inflation measurement.

Description

The France Inflation Rate is reported as a Year-over-Year (YoY) percentage change, comparing the current month's prices to the same month in the previous year. This method is preferred as it mitigates seasonal fluctuations and provides a clear insight into long-term price trends, allowing traders to discern structural changes in the economy. Year-over-year comparisons are particularly valuable for assessing overall inflation trajectories and making informed economic forecasts.

Additional Notes

This inflation indicator serves as a lagging economic measure, reflecting price changes after they have occurred and their subsequent effects on the economy. Furthermore, it is often compared with other crucial indicators, such as core inflation rates or producer price indices, to attain a more comprehensive understanding of inflationary pressures in both regional and global contexts.

Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks

Higher than expected: Bullish for EUR, Bearish for Stocks. Lower than expected: Bearish for EUR, Bullish for Stocks. Dovish tone: Signaling lower interest rates or economic support, is usually bad for the EUR but good for Stocks due to cheaper borrowing costs.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise
May 15, 2025	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
Apr 15, 2025	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
Mar 14, 2025	0.8%	0.8%	1.7%
Feb 18, 2025	1.7%	1.4%	1.3%	0.3%
Jan 15, 2025	1.3%	1.3%	1.3%
Dec 13, 2024	1.3%	1.3%	1.2%
Nov 15, 2024	1.2%	1.2%	1.1%
Oct 15, 2024	1.1%	1.2%	1.8%	-0.1%
Sep 13, 2024	1.8%	1.9%	2.3%	-0.1%
Aug 14, 2024	2.3%	2.3%	2.2%
Jul 12, 2024	2.2%	2.1%	2.3%	0.1%
Jun 14, 2024	2.3%	2.2%	2.2%	0.1%
May 15, 2024	2.2%	2.2%	2.3%
Apr 12, 2024	2.3%	2.3%	3%
Mar 15, 2024	3%	2.9%	3.1%	0.1%
Feb 16, 2024	3.1%	3.1%	3.7%
Jan 12, 2024	3.7%	3.7%	3.5%
Dec 15, 2023	3.5%	3.4%	4%	0.1%
Nov 15, 2023	4%	4%	4.9%
Oct 13, 2023	4.9%	4.9%	4.9%
Sep 15, 2023	4.9%	4.8%	4.3%	0.1%
Aug 11, 2023	4.3%	4.3%	4.5%
Jul 13, 2023	4.5%	4.5%	5.1%
Jun 15, 2023	5.1%	5.1%	5.9%
May 12, 2023	5.9%	5.9%	5.7%
Apr 14, 2023	5.7%	5.6%	6.3%	0.1%
Mar 15, 2023	6.3%	6.2%	6%	0.1%
Feb 17, 2023	6%	6%	5.9%
Jan 13, 2023	5.9%	5.9%	6.2%
Dec 15, 2022	6.2%	6.2%	6.2%
Nov 15, 2022	6.2%	6.2%	5.6%
Oct 14, 2022	5.6%	5.6%	5.9%
Sep 15, 2022	5.9%	5.8%	6.1%	0.1%
Aug 12, 2022	6.1%	6.1%	5.8%
Jul 13, 2022	5.8%	5.8%	5.2%
Jun 15, 2022	5.2%	5.2%	4.8%
May 13, 2022	4.8%	4.8%	4.5%
Apr 15, 2022	4.5%	4.5%	3.6%
Mar 15, 2022	3.6%	3.6%	2.9%
Feb 18, 2022	2.9%	2.9%	2.8%
Jan 14, 2022	2.8%	2.8%	2.8%
Dec 15, 2021	2.8%	2.8%	2.6%
Nov 16, 2021	2.6%	2.6%	2.2%
Oct 15, 2021	2.2%	2.1%	1.9%	0.1%
Sep 15, 2021	1.9%	1.9%	1.2%
Aug 13, 2021	1.2%	1.2%	1.5%
Jul 13, 2021	1.5%	1.5%	1.4%
Jun 15, 2021	1.4%	1.4%	1.2%
May 12, 2021	1.2%	1.3%	1.1%	-0.1%
Apr 15, 2021	1.1%	1.1%	0.6%
Mar 16, 2021	0.6%	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%
Feb 19, 2021	0.6%	0.6%	0%
Jan 15, 2021	0%	0%	0.2%
Dec 15, 2020	0.2%	0.2%	0%
Nov 13, 2020	0%	0%	0%
Oct 15, 2020	0%	0.1%	0.2%	-0.1%
Sep 15, 2020	0.2%	0.2%	0.8%
Aug 14, 2020	0.8%	0.8%	0.2%
Jul 16, 2020	0.2%	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Jun 12, 2020	0.4%	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
May 15, 2020	0.3%	0.4%	0.7%	-0.1%
Apr 15, 2020	0.7%	0.6%	1.4%	0.1%
Mar 13, 2020	1.4%	1.4%	1.5%
Feb 20, 2020	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%
Jan 15, 2020	1.5%	1.4%	1%	0.1%
Dec 12, 2019	1%	1%	0.8%
Nov 14, 2019	0.8%	0.7%	0.9%	0.1%
Oct 15, 2019	0.9%	0.9%	1%
Sep 12, 2019	1%	1.1%	1.1%	-0.1%
Aug 14, 2019	1.1%	1.1%	1.2%
Jul 11, 2019	1.2%	1.2%	0.9%
Jun 14, 2019	0.9%	1%	1.3%	-0.1%
May 15, 2019	1.3%	1.2%	1.1%	0.1%
Apr 11, 2019	1.1%	1.1%	1.3%
Mar 14, 2019	1.3%	1.3%	1.2%
Feb 21, 2019	1.2%	1.2%	1.6%
Jan 15, 2019	1.6%	1.6%	1.9%
Dec 13, 2018	1.9%	1.9%	2.2%
Nov 14, 2018	2.2%	2.2%	2.2%
Oct 11, 2018	2.2%	2.2%	2.3%
Sep 13, 2018	2.3%	2.3%	2.3%
Aug 14, 2018	2.3%	2.3%	2%
Jul 12, 2018	2%	2.1%	2%	-0.1%
Jun 14, 2018	2%	2%	1.6%
May 15, 2018	1.6%	1.6%	1.6%
Apr 12, 2018	1.6%	1.5%	1.2%	0.1%
Mar 15, 2018	1.2%	1.2%	1.3%
Feb 22, 2018	1.3%	1.4%	1.2%	-0.1%
Jan 12, 2018	1.2%	1.2%	1.2%
Dec 14, 2017	1.2%	1.2%	1.1%
Nov 15, 2017	1.1%	1.1%	1%
Oct 12, 2017	1%	1%	0.9%
Sep 14, 2017	0.9%	0.9%	0.7%
Aug 11, 2017	0.7%	0.7%	0.7%
Jul 13, 2017	0.7%	0.7%	0.8%
Jun 15, 2017	0.8%	0.8%	1.2%
May 16, 2017	1.2%	1.2%	1.1%
Apr 13, 2017	1.1%	1.1%	1.2%
Mar 15, 2017	1.2%	1.2%	1.3%
Feb 21, 2017	1.3%	1.4%	0.6%	-0.1%
Jan 12, 2017	0.6%	0.6%	0.5%
Dec 14, 2016	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%
Nov 15, 2016	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%
Oct 12, 2016	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
Sep 14, 2016	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Aug 11, 2016	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Jul 13, 2016	0.2%	0.3%	0%	-0.1%
Jun 15, 2016	0%	-0.1%	-0.2%	0.1%
May 12, 2016	-0.2%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Apr 13, 2016	-0.1%	-0.1%	-0.2%
Mar 15, 2016	-0.2%	-0.2%	0.2%
Feb 18, 2016	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%