China US-China Trade Talks

Info

History

Chart

Impact:

High

Next Release:

Date:

Period:

What Does It Measure?

The US-China Trade Talks primarily measure the dynamics of trade relations between the United States and China, focusing on the negotiation outcomes that may influence tariffs, trade barriers, and economic cooperation. This event assesses key areas such as trade volume, tariffs, import/export policies, and overall economic impact on both nations, serving as a national and global indicator of trade sentiment.

Frequency

These talks occur irregularly, often when both governments perceive a need to address ongoing trade tensions, and official outcomes or statements are typically released after each meeting or series of discussions.

Why Do Traders Care?

Traders are highly attentive to the results of US-China Trade Talks because they significantly impact financial markets, influencing currencies, stock prices, and commodity prices due to potential changes in trade policies. Positive outcomes are often bullish for equities and currencies as they signal improved economic relations and growth prospects, while negative developments can lead to bearish trends.

What Is It Derived From?

The outcomes of US-China Trade Talks are derived from negotiations between trade representatives and policymakers from both countries, often informed by economic data, stakeholder surveys, and analysis of trade patterns. The discussions might be influenced by various economic indicators, including trade balances, tariffs in place, and relevant political considerations.

Description

US-China Trade Talks can lead to either preliminary agreements or final resolutions on key trade issues. Preliminary agreements may lack full details and may still be under negotiation, while final agreements are more comprehensive and reflect a more established framework for trade relations. These talks serve as vital signals for market sentiment and economic forecasts, demonstrating the immediate need for diplomatic resolution.

Additional Notes

These negotiations serve as a coincident economic measure, reflecting current trade conditions rather than predict future trends. Comparatively, results from these talks can also be analyzed against other trade indicators such as trade balance reports and import/export growth, emphasizing their importance in assessing broader economic relationships and impacts.

Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks

Higher than expected outcomes from the US-China Trade Talks are typically bullish for the USD, bullish for US Stocks. However, if talks yield lower than expected results, it may be bearish for the USD and bearish for US Stocks, reflecting uncertainty in trade relations and potential impacts on economic growth.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise