Italy Inflation Rate YoY Final

Info

History

Chart

Impact:

Low

Source: National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT)

Latest Release:

Date:

Surprise:

-0.1%

Actual:

1.9%

Forecast: 2%

Previous/Revision:

1.9%

Period: Apr

Next Release:

Date:

Period: May

What Does It Measure?

The Italy Inflation Rate Year-over-Year (YoY) Final measures the percentage change in the price level of a basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households in Italy over the past year. It primarily focuses on inflation as an economic indicator, examining key areas such as consumer prices, cost of living, and purchasing power.

Frequency

This report is published monthly and represents the final figures after preliminary estimates, typically released within a few weeks after the end of the month in consideration.

Why Do Traders Care?

Traders regard the Italy Inflation Rate as a crucial indicator of economic health, as it influences monetary policy, consumer spending, and investment decisions. Higher-than-expected inflation rates could lead to bullish sentiment in currency markets, while weaker readings may trigger bearish movements in equities and bonds.

What Is It Derived From?

The inflation rate is derived from the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is calculated based on a survey of the prices of a fixed basket of consumer goods and services, collected from various retailers and service providers throughout Italy. The CPI takes into account price changes across diverse categories, ensuring a comprehensive assessment of inflation trends.

Description

The final report on the Italy Inflation Rate serves as a more accurate reflection of inflationary pressures faced by the economy, as it incorporates revisions from preliminary data based on additional information and refinement. Financial markets tend to react more strongly to the preliminary figures due to their timeliness, while the final report helps refine sentiment as it represents the consensus of economic activity.

Additional Notes

The Italy Inflation Rate is often viewed as a coincident economic measure, reflecting current price dynamics in relation to broader economic trends. It is essential for understanding how inflation in Italy compares to other regions and global trends, influencing European Central Bank policies and regional economic health.

Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks

Higher than expected: Bullish for EUR, Bearish for Stocks. Lower than expected: Bearish for EUR, Bullish for Stocks. Dovish tone: Signaling lower interest rates or economic support, is usually bad for the EUR but good for Stocks due to cheaper borrowing costs.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise
May 16, 2025	1.9%	2%	1.9%	-0.1%
Apr 16, 2025	1.9%	2%	1.6%	-0.1%
Mar 17, 2025	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	-0.1%
Feb 21, 2025	1.5%	1.5%	1.3%
Jan 16, 2025	1.3%	1.3%	1.3%
Dec 16, 2024	1.3%	1.4%	0.9%	-0.1%
Nov 15, 2024	0.9%	0.9%	0.7%
Oct 16, 2024	0.7%	0.7%	1.1%
Sep 16, 2024	1.1%	1.1%	1.3%
Aug 09, 2024	1.3%	1.3%	0.8%
Jul 16, 2024	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
Jun 17, 2024	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
May 16, 2024	0.8%	0.9%	1.2%	-0.1%
Apr 16, 2024	1.2%	1.3%	0.8%	-0.1%
Mar 15, 2024	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
Feb 22, 2024	0.8%	0.8%	0.6%
Jan 16, 2024	0.6%	0.6%	0.7%
Dec 15, 2023	0.7%	0.8%	1.7%	-0.1%
Nov 15, 2023	1.7%	1.8%	5.3%	-0.1%
Oct 16, 2023	5.3%	5.3%	5.4%
Sep 15, 2023	5.4%	5.5%	5.9%	-0.1%
Aug 10, 2023	5.9%	6%	6.4%	-0.1%
Jul 17, 2023	6.4%	6.4%	7.6%
Jun 16, 2023	7.6%	7.6%	8.2%
May 16, 2023	8.2%	8.3%	7.6%	-0.1%
Apr 17, 2023	7.6%	7.7%	9.1%	-0.1%
Mar 16, 2023	9.1%	9.2%	10%	-0.1%
Feb 22, 2023	10%	10.1%	11.6%	-0.1%
Jan 17, 2023	11.6%	11.6%	11.8%
Dec 16, 2022	11.8%	11.8%	11.8%
Nov 16, 2022	11.8%	11.9%	8.9%	-0.1%
Oct 17, 2022	8.9%	8.9%	8.4%
Sep 16, 2022	8.4%	8.4%	7.9%
Aug 10, 2022	7.9%	7.9%	8%
Jul 15, 2022	8%	8%	6.8%
Jun 16, 2022	6.8%	6.9%	6%	-0.1%
May 17, 2022	6%	6.2%	6.5%	-0.2%
Apr 15, 2022	6.5%	6.7%	5.7%	-0.2%
Mar 16, 2022	5.7%	5.7%	4.8%
Feb 22, 2022	4.8%	4.8%	3.9%
Jan 17, 2022	3.9%	3.9%	3.7%
Dec 15, 2021	3.7%	3.8%	3%	-0.1%
Nov 16, 2021	3%	2.9%	2.5%	0.1%
Oct 15, 2021	2.5%	2.6%	2%	-0.1%
Sep 15, 2021	2%	2.1%	1.9%	-0.1%
Aug 11, 2021	1.9%	1.8%	1.3%	0.1%
Jul 15, 2021	1.3%	1.3%	1.3%
Jun 15, 2021	1.3%	1.3%	1.1%
May 17, 2021	1.1%	1.1%	0.8%
Apr 15, 2021	0.8%	0.8%	0.6%
Mar 16, 2021	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%
Feb 19, 2021	0.4%	0.2%	-0.2%	0.2%
Jan 18, 2021	-0.2%	-0.1%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Dec 15, 2020	-0.2%	-0.2%	-0.3%
Nov 16, 2020	-0.3%	-0.3%	-0.6%
Oct 16, 2020	-0.6%	-0.5%	-0.5%	-0.1%
Sep 15, 2020	-0.5%	-0.5%	-0.4%
Aug 12, 2020	-0.4%	-0.3%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Jul 15, 2020	-0.2%	-0.2%	-0.2%
Jun 15, 2020	-0.2%	-0.1%	0%	-0.1%
May 15, 2020	0%	0%	0.1%
Apr 15, 2020	0.1%	0.1%	0.3%
Mar 16, 2020	0.3%	0.4%	0.5%	-0.1%
Feb 21, 2020	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%	-0.1%
Jan 17, 2020	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%
Dec 16, 2019	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%	-0.2%
Nov 15, 2019	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	-0.1%
Oct 16, 2019	0.3%	0.4%	0.4%	-0.1%
Sep 16, 2019	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	-0.1%
Aug 09, 2019	0.4%	0.5%	0.7%	-0.1%
Jul 16, 2019	0.7%	0.8%	0.8%	-0.1%
Jun 14, 2019	0.8%	0.9%	1.1%	-0.1%
May 16, 2019	1.1%	1.1%	1%
Apr 17, 2019	1%	1%	1%
Mar 15, 2019	1%	1.1%	0.9%	-0.1%
Feb 21, 2019	0.9%	0.9%	1.1%
Jan 16, 2019	1.1%	1.1%	1.6%
Dec 14, 2018	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%	-0.1%
Nov 16, 2018	1.6%	1.6%	1.4%
Oct 16, 2018	1.4%	1.5%	1.6%	-0.1%
Sep 14, 2018	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%	-0.1%
Aug 13, 2018	1.5%	1.4%	1.3%	0.1%
Jul 17, 2018	1.3%	0.8%	1%	0.5%
Jun 15, 2018	1%	1.1%	0.5%	-0.1%
May 16, 2018	0.5%	0.5%	0.8%
Apr 17, 2018	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	-0.1%
Mar 16, 2018	0.5%	0.6%	0.9%	-0.1%
Feb 22, 2018	0.9%	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Jan 16, 2018	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	-0.8%
Dec 14, 2017	0.9%	0.9%	1%
Nov 14, 2017	1%	1%	1.1%
Oct 13, 2017	1.1%	1.1%	1.2%
Sep 14, 2017	1.2%	1.2%	1.1%
Aug 11, 2017	1.1%	1.1%	1.2%
Jul 14, 2017	1.2%	1.2%	1.4%
Jun 15, 2017	1.4%	1.4%	1.9%
May 15, 2017	1.9%	1.8%	1.4%	0.1%
Apr 13, 2017	1.4%	1.4%	1.6%
Mar 15, 2017	1.6%	1.5%	1%	0.1%
Feb 22, 2017	1%	0.9%	0.5%	0.1%
Jan 16, 2017	0.5%	0.5%	0.1%
Dec 14, 2016	0.1%	0.1%	-0.2%
Nov 14, 2016	-0.2%	-0.1%	0.1%	-0.1%
Oct 14, 2016	0.1%	0.1%	-0.1%
Sep 14, 2016	-0.1%	-0.1%	-0.1%
Aug 11, 2016	-0.1%	-0.1%	-0.4%
Jul 13, 2016	-0.4%	-0.4%	-0.3%
Jun 14, 2016	-0.3%	-0.3%	-0.5%
May 13, 2016	-0.5%	-0.4%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Apr 14, 2016	-0.2%	-0.2%	-0.3%
Mar 15, 2016	-0.3%	-0.3%	0.3%
Feb 22, 2016	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Jan 15, 2016	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Dec 14, 2015	0.1%	0.1%	0.3%
Nov 13, 2015	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Oct 14, 2015	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	-0.1%
Sep 14, 2015	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Aug 11, 2015	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Jul 14, 2015	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Jun 15, 2015	0.1%	0.2%	-0.1%	-0.1%
May 13, 2015	-0.1%	0%	-0.1%	-0.1%