Italy GDP Growth Rate YoY Final

Info

History

Chart

Impact:

Medium

Latest Release:

Surprise:

0.1%

EUR

Actual:

0.6%

Forecast: 0.5%

Previous/Revision:

0.4%

Period: Mar 2025

Next Release:

Forecast: 0.6%

Period: May 2025

What Does It Measure?

The Italy GDP Growth Rate YoY Final measures the annual percentage change in the country's Gross Domestic Product, which reflects the total economic output produced within a specific time frame. It focuses on the overall economic performance and health, assessing key components such as consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports.

Frequency

This report is released quarterly, providing a final figure that updates the preliminary estimate from the previous month, typically published about 45 days after the end of the quarter.

Why Do Traders Care?

Traders closely monitor GDP growth rates as they are crucial indicators of economic health, impacting financial markets significantly. Stronger-than-expected GDP growth can lead to currency appreciation (e.g., EUR) and positive sentiment in equities, whereas disappointing figures may result in bearish effects on these markets.

What Is It Derived From?

The GDP Growth Rate YoY is derived from comprehensive national accounts data, calculated by statistical agencies using methodologies that compile data from various sectors of the economy. It encompasses consumer spending, business investments, governmental expenditures, and international trade statistics, with adjustments made for inflation to maintain accuracy.

Description

The preliminary GDP data provides an initial indication of economic growth based on early estimates, while the final report represents a more refined and accurate assessment subject to revisions. Markets often react more intensely to preliminary results as they gauge current economic conditions, while the final reading can lead to adjustments in market expectations based on the more complete data.

Additional Notes

As a coincident economic indicator, the GDP Growth Rate offers insights into the current performance of the economy, often reflecting broader economic trends and influencing monetary policy decisions. It is frequently compared to other economic indicators like employment rates and inflation to provide a holistic view of economic conditions.

Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks

Higher than expected: Bullish for EUR, Bullish for Stocks. Lower than expected: Bearish for EUR, Bearish for Stocks. A hawkish tone signaling higher interest rates due to stronger growth is usually good for the Euro but bad for stocks due to higher borrowing costs.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise
Mar 05, 2025	0.6%	0.5%	0.4%	0.1%
Dec 02, 2024	0.4%	0.4%	0.6%
Sep 02, 2024	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%
May 31, 2024	0.7%	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%
Mar 05, 2024	0.6%	0.5%	0.5%	0.1%
Dec 01, 2023	0.1%	0%	0.3%	0.1%
Oct 04, 2023	0.3%	0.4%	2.1%	-0.1%
Sep 01, 2023	0.4%	0.6%	1.9%	-0.2%
May 31, 2023	1.9%	1.8%	1.4%	0.1%
Mar 03, 2023	1.4%	1.7%	2.6%	-0.3%
Nov 30, 2022	2.6%	2.6%	4.9%
Sep 01, 2022	4.7%	4.6%	6.2%	0.1%
May 31, 2022	6.2%	5.8%	6.4%	0.4%
Mar 04, 2022	6.2%	6.4%	3.9%	-0.2%
Nov 30, 2021	3.9%	3.8%	17%	0.1%
Aug 31, 2021	17.3%	17.3%	-0.7%
Jun 01, 2021	-0.8%	-1.4%	-6.6%	0.6%
Mar 03, 2021	-6.6%	-6.6%	-5.2%
Dec 01, 2020	-5%	-4.7%	-18%	-0.3%
Aug 31, 2020	-17.7%	-17.3%	-5.6%	-0.4%
May 29, 2020	-5.4%	-4.8%	0.1%	-0.6%
Mar 04, 2020	0.1%	0%	0.5%	0.1%
Nov 29, 2019	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Aug 30, 2019	-0.1%	0%	-0.1%	-0.1%
May 31, 2019	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	-0.2%
Mar 05, 2019	0%	0.1%	0.6%	-0.1%
Nov 30, 2018	0.7%	0.8%	1.2%	-0.1%
Aug 31, 2018	1.2%	1.1%	1.4%	0.1%
Jun 01, 2018	1.4%	1.4%	1.6%
Mar 02, 2018	1.6%	1.6%	1.7%
Dec 01, 2017	1.7%	1.8%	1.5%	-0.1%
Sep 01, 2017	1.5%	1.5%	1.2%
Jun 01, 2017	1.2%	0.8%	1.1%	0.4%
Mar 03, 2017	1%	1.1%	1%	-0.1%
Dec 01, 2016	1%	0.9%	1%	0.1%
Sep 02, 2016	0.8%	0.7%	1%	0.1%
May 31, 2016	1%	1%	1.1%
Mar 04, 2016	1%	1%	0.8%
Dec 01, 2015	0.8%	0.9%	0.6%	-0.1%
Sep 01, 2015	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.2%
May 29, 2015	0.1%	0%	-0.5%	0.1%