France GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel

Info

History

Chart

Impact:

High

Latest Release:

Surprise:

-0.1%

EUR

Actual:

0.1%

Forecast: 0.2%

Previous/Revision:

-0.1%

Period: Apr 2025

Next Release:

Forecast:

Period: Jul 2025

What Does It Measure?

The France GDP Growth Rate (QoQ) Preliminary report measures the change in the Gross Domestic Product of France over a quarter, specifically assessing the overall economic performance by analyzing the value of goods and services produced. This indicator focuses on the national economic activity, including key components such as consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports.

Frequency

The GDP Growth Rate is released quarterly, with preliminary figures typically published approximately one month after the end of the quarter, allowing for timely insights into the economic conditions.

Why Do Traders Care?

Traders closely monitor the GDP Growth Rate as it serves as a primary economic indicator influencing investor sentiment and the overall financial market performance, impacting currencies, stocks, and bonds. Stronger-than-expected GDP growth may lead to bullish trends in the Euro (EUR) and French equities, while weaker results could suggest contraction, negatively affecting market confidence.

What Is It Derived From?

The GDP Growth Rate is derived from a comprehensive collection of economic data across various sectors, including manufacturing, services, and agriculture, typically compiled by national statistical agencies. The calculation utilizes a broad range of data inputs, including consumer spending, business investments, government expenditure, and trade balances, with adjustments made for inflation to reflect real growth.

Description

The preliminary GDP report is based on early estimates and subject to revision, aiming to provide the market with timely insights into economic conditions that may influence monetary policy decisions. Financial markets may react more fervently to these preliminary figures due to their immediate relevance, though subsequent revisions may offer a more accurate view of economic performance.

Additional Notes

The GDP Growth Rate is considered a coincident economic indicator, reflecting current economic conditions and trends. It serves as a foundational metric for economic analysis and provides insights into broader economic health relative to other regions or reports globally, such as similar GDP assessments from neighboring countries.

Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks

Higher than expected: Bullish for EUR, Bullish for Stocks.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise
Apr 30, 2025	0.1%	0.2%	-0.1%	-0.1%
Jan 30, 2025	-0.1%	0%	0.4%	-0.1%
Oct 30, 2024	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
Jul 30, 2024	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Apr 30, 2024	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Jan 30, 2024	0%	0%	0%
Oct 31, 2023	0.1%	0.1%	0.6%
Jul 28, 2023	0.5%	0.1%	0.1%	0.4%
Apr 28, 2023	0.2%	0.2%	0%
Jan 31, 2023	0.1%	0%	0.2%	0.1%
Oct 28, 2022	0.2%	0.2%	0.5%
Jul 29, 2022	0.5%	0.2%	-0.2%	0.3%
Apr 29, 2022	0%	0.3%	0.8%	-0.3%
Jan 28, 2022	0.7%	0.5%	3.1%	0.2%
Oct 29, 2021	3%	2.1%	1.3%	0.9%
Jul 30, 2021	0.9%	0.8%	0%	0.1%
Apr 30, 2021	0.4%	0.1%	-1.4%	0.3%
Jan 29, 2021	-1.3%	-4%	18.5%	2.7%
Oct 30, 2020	18.2%	15.4%	-13.7%	2.8%
Jul 31, 2020	-13.8%	-15.3%	-5.9%	1.5%
Apr 30, 2020	-5.8%	-3.5%	-0.1%	-2.3%
Jan 31, 2020	-0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	-0.3%
Oct 30, 2019	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Jul 30, 2019	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	-0.1%
Jan 29, 2016	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
Nov 13, 2015	0.3%	0.3%	0%
Aug 14, 2015	0%	0.2%	0.7%	-0.2%
May 13, 2015	0.6%	0.4%	0%	0.2%