United States Import Prices MoM

Info

History

Chart

Impact:

Medium

Latest Release:

Big Surprise:

0.5%

USD

Actual:

0.1%

Forecast: -0.4%

Previous/Revision:

-0.4%

Period: May 2025

Next Release:

Forecast:

Period: Jun 2025

What Does It Measure?

The United States Import Prices MoM measures the monthly rate of change in the prices of goods and services imported into the United States. This indicator primarily focuses on assessing inflationary pressures stemming from foreign goods and is influenced by variations in exchange rates, demand conditions, and global commodity prices.

Frequency

This report is released on a monthly basis, typically around the middle of the month, and may include revisions of previous estimates.

Why Do Traders Care?

Import prices are a critical measure of inflation dynamics and can significantly influence monetary policy decisions. Fluctuations in this indicator can impact the value of the U.S. dollar and influence investment decisions in equities and bonds, particularly those tied to consumer prices and inflation expectations.

What Is It Derived From?

The Import Prices MoM is derived from data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which surveys a variety of import transactions, capturing price changes for a broad range of commodities and services. The calculation involves a weighted index approach, reflecting the relative import volumes of various products to gauge overall price movement.

Description

The Import Prices MoM report presents data that compares the current month’s import prices to those of the previous month, highlighting short-term inflation trends and consumer cost pressures. The preliminary figures are based on early estimates and can be corrected in subsequent final reports, leading to market reactions based on the initial data's perceived accuracy, which may differ from the final calculation.

Additional Notes

This indicator serves as a leading economic measure of inflation, providing insight into future consumer price index movements. It is pivotal in assessing how external price pressures may affect domestic inflation in the U.S., aligning with broader global economic trends and import-export dynamics.

Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks

Higher than expected: Bullish for USD, Bearish for Stocks. Lower than expected: Bearish for USD, Bullish for Stocks.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise
May 16, 2025	0.1%	-0.4%	-0.4%	0.5%
Apr 15, 2025	-0.1%	0%	0.2%	-0.1%
Mar 18, 2025	0.4%	-0.1%	0.4%	0.5%
Feb 14, 2025	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%	-0.1%
Jan 16, 2025	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Dec 13, 2024	0.1%	-0.2%	0.1%	0.3%
Nov 15, 2024	0.3%	-0.1%	-0.4%	0.4%
Oct 16, 2024	-0.4%	-0.4%	-0.2%
Sep 13, 2024	-0.3%	-0.2%	0.1%	-0.1%
Aug 15, 2024	0.1%	-0.1%	0%	0.2%
Jul 16, 2024	0%	0.2%	-0.2%	-0.2%
Jun 14, 2024	-0.4%	0.1%	0.9%	-0.5%
May 16, 2024	0.9%	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%
Apr 12, 2024	0.4%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Mar 15, 2024	0.3%	0.3%	0.8%
Feb 15, 2024	0.8%	0%	-0.7%	0.8%
Jan 17, 2024	0%	-0.5%	-0.5%	0.5%
Dec 14, 2023	-0.4%	-0.8%	-0.6%	0.4%
Nov 16, 2023	-0.8%	-0.3%	0.4%	-0.5%
Oct 13, 2023	0.1%	0.5%	0.6%	-0.4%
Sep 15, 2023	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.2%
Aug 15, 2023	0.4%	0.2%	-0.1%	0.2%
Jul 14, 2023	-0.2%	-0.1%	-0.4%	-0.1%
Jun 15, 2023	-0.6%	-0.5%	0.3%	-0.1%
May 12, 2023	0.4%	0.3%	-0.8%	0.1%
Apr 14, 2023	-0.6%	-0.1%	-0.2%	-0.5%
Mar 16, 2023	-0.1%	-0.2%	-0.4%	0.1%
Feb 17, 2023	-0.2%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Jan 13, 2023	0.4%	-0.9%	-0.7%	1.3%
Dec 14, 2022	-0.6%	-0.5%	-0.4%	-0.1%
Nov 16, 2022	-0.2%	-0.4%	-1.1%	0.2%
Oct 14, 2022	-1.2%	-1.1%	-1.1%	-0.1%
Sep 15, 2022	-1%	-1.2%	-1.5%	0.2%
Aug 12, 2022	-1.4%	-1%	0.3%	-0.4%
Jul 15, 2022	0.2%	0.7%	0.5%	-0.5%
Jun 15, 2022	0.6%	1.1%	0.4%	-0.5%
May 13, 2022	0%	0.6%	2.9%	-0.6%
Apr 14, 2022	2.6%	2.3%	1.6%	0.3%
Mar 16, 2022	1.4%	1.5%	1.9%	-0.1%
Feb 16, 2022	2%	1.3%	-0.4%	0.7%
Jan 14, 2022	-0.2%	0.3%	0.7%	-0.5%
Dec 15, 2021	0.7%	0.7%	1.5%
Nov 16, 2021	1.2%	1%	0.4%	0.2%
Oct 15, 2021	0.4%	0.6%	-0.3%	-0.2%
Sep 15, 2021	-0.3%	0.3%	0.4%	-0.6%
Aug 13, 2021	0.3%	0.6%	1.1%	-0.3%
Jul 15, 2021	1%	1.2%	1.4%	-0.2%
Jun 16, 2021	1.1%	0.8%	0.8%	0.3%
May 14, 2021	0.7%	0.6%	1.4%	0.1%
Apr 14, 2021	1.2%	1%	1.3%	0.2%
Mar 16, 2021	1.3%	1.2%	1.4%	0.1%
Feb 18, 2021	1.4%	1%	1%	0.4%
Jan 14, 2021	0.9%	0.7%	0.2%	0.2%
Dec 15, 2020	0.1%	0.3%	-0.1%	-0.2%
Nov 17, 2020	-0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	-0.3%
Oct 15, 2020	0.3%	0.3%	1%
Sep 15, 2020	0.9%	0.5%	1.2%	0.4%
Aug 13, 2020	0.7%	0.6%	1.4%	0.1%
Jul 15, 2020	1.4%	1%	0.8%	0.4%
Jun 12, 2020	1%	0.6%	-2.6%	0.4%
May 14, 2020	-2.6%	-3.1%	-2.4%	0.5%
Apr 14, 2020	-2.3%	-3.2%	-0.7%	0.9%
Mar 13, 2020	-0.5%	-0.8%	0.1%	0.3%
Feb 14, 2020	0%	-0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Jan 16, 2020	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Dec 13, 2019	0.2%	0.2%	-0.5%
Nov 15, 2019	-0.5%	-0.2%	0.1%	-0.3%
Oct 11, 2019	0.2%	0%	-0.2%	0.2%
Sep 13, 2019	-0.5%	-0.4%	0.1%	-0.1%
Aug 14, 2019	0.2%	0%	-1.1%	0.2%
Jul 16, 2019	-0.9%	-0.7%	0%	-0.2%
Jun 13, 2019	-0.3%	-0.2%	0.1%	-0.1%
May 14, 2019	0.2%	0.7%	0.6%	-0.5%
Apr 12, 2019	0.6%	0.4%	1%	0.2%
Mar 14, 2019	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.3%
Feb 15, 2019	-0.5%	-0.1%	-1%	-0.4%
Jan 16, 2019	-1%	-1.3%	-1.9%	0.3%
Dec 13, 2018	-1.6%	-0.9%	0.5%	-0.7%
Nov 15, 2018	0.5%	0.1%	0.2%	0.4%
Oct 12, 2018	0.5%	0.2%	-0.4%	0.3%
Sep 14, 2018	-0.6%	-0.2%	-0.1%	-0.4%
Aug 14, 2018	0%	0.1%	-0.1%	-0.1%
Jul 13, 2018	-0.4%	0.1%	0.9%	-0.5%
Jun 14, 2018	0.6%	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
May 11, 2018	0.3%	0.5%	-0.2%	-0.2%
Apr 12, 2018	0%	0.2%	0.3%	-0.2%
Mar 15, 2018	0.4%	0.2%	0.8%	0.2%
Feb 16, 2018	1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.4%
Jan 10, 2018	0.1%	0.5%	0.8%	-0.4%
Dec 14, 2017	0.7%	0.7%	0.1%
Nov 16, 2017	0.2%	0.4%	0.8%	-0.2%
Oct 17, 2017	0.7%	0.5%	0.6%	0.2%
Sep 19, 2017	0.6%	0.4%	-0.1%	0.2%
Aug 15, 2017	0.1%	0.1%	-0.2%
Jul 18, 2017	-0.2%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Jun 15, 2017	-0.3%	-0.1%	0.2%	-0.2%
May 10, 2017	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.3%
Apr 12, 2017	-0.2%	-0.2%	0.4%
Mar 09, 2017	0.2%	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Feb 10, 2017	0.4%	0.2%	0.5%	0.2%
Jan 12, 2017	0.4%	0.7%	-0.2%	-0.3%
Dec 13, 2016	-0.3%	-0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
Nov 15, 2016	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
Oct 13, 2016	0.1%	0.2%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Sep 14, 2016	-0.2%	-0.1%	0.1%	-0.1%
Aug 11, 2016	0.1%	-0.3%	0.6%	0.4%
Jul 13, 2016	0.2%	0.5%	1.4%	-0.3%
Jun 14, 2016	1.4%	0.7%	0.7%	0.7%
May 12, 2016	0.3%	0.5%	0.3%	-0.2%
Apr 12, 2016	0.2%	1%	-0.4%	-0.8%
Mar 11, 2016	-0.3%	-0.6%	-1%	0.3%
Feb 12, 2016	-1.1%	-1.4%	-1.2%	0.3%
Jan 14, 2016	-1.2%	-1.4%	-0.5%	0.2%
Dec 10, 2015	-0.4%	-0.7%	-0.3%	0.3%
Nov 10, 2015	-0.5%	-0.1%	-0.6%	-0.4%
Oct 09, 2015	-0.1%	-0.5%	-1.6%	0.4%
Sep 10, 2015	-1.8%	-1.6%	-0.9%	-0.2%
Aug 13, 2015	-0.9%	-1.1%	0%	0.2%
Jul 14, 2015	-0.1%	0.1%	1.2%	-0.2%
Jun 11, 2015	1.3%	0.8%	-0.2%	0.5%
May 13, 2015	-0.3%	0.3%	-0.2%	-0.6%