United States Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM

Info

History

Chart

Impact:

Medium

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Latest Release:

Date:

Surprise:

0.3%

USD

Actual:

0.2%

Forecast: -0.1%

Previous/Revision:

-0.2%

Period: Apr

Next Release:

Date:

Period: May

What Does It Measure?

The United States Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation Month-over-Month (MoM) measures the monthly change in new orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, specifically excluding transportation equipment. This indicator focuses on long-lasting goods, such as machinery and electronics, and is critical for assessing manufacturing sector performance and overall economic health.

Frequency

This report is released monthly, typically on the last business day of the month, and it may include preliminary figures that are subject to revision.

Why Do Traders Care?

Traders monitor this indicator closely because it provides insights into business investment trends and consumer demand, impacting expectations for economic growth. Strong readings can be bullish for the U.S. dollar and equities, while weaker results may result in bearish sentiment for these assets as they signal potential economic slowdown.

What Is It Derived From?

Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation is derived from survey data collected from a sample of manufacturers regarding their new orders. The calculation involves adjusting raw data for seasonal variations and refining it to reflect only the relevant categories of durable goods, thus capturing ongoing trends in manufacturing activity.

Description

The Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation MoM figure compares the value of new orders received in one month to the value of orders from the previous month, providing timely insights into the dynamics of the manufacturing industry. This measure serves as a leading indicator of economic activity, influencing forecasts related to production and employment trends across various sectors.

Additional Notes

This indicator is considered a leading economic measure, as it can signal future manufacturing activity and overall economic momentum before more comprehensive metrics, like GDP, are reported. It correlates strongly with business investments and can highlight shifts in economic conditions, especially when compared to similar reports such as the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) or total durable goods orders.

Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks

Higher than expected: Bullish for USD, Bullish for Stocks.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise
May 27, 2025	0.2%	-0.1%	-0.2%	0.3%
Apr 24, 2025	0%	0.3%	0.7%	-0.3%
Mar 26, 2025	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%	0.5%
Feb 27, 2025	0%	0.3%	0.1%	-0.3%
Jan 28, 2025	0.3%	0.4%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Dec 23, 2024	-0.1%	0.3%	0.2%	-0.4%
Nov 27, 2024	0.1%	0.2%	0.4%	-0.1%
Oct 25, 2024	0.4%	-0.1%	0.6%	0.5%
Sep 26, 2024	0.5%	0.1%	-0.1%	0.4%
Aug 26, 2024	-0.2%	-0.1%	0.1%	-0.1%
Jul 25, 2024	0.5%	0.2%	-0.1%	0.3%
Jun 27, 2024	-0.1%	0.2%	0.4%	-0.3%
May 24, 2024	0.4%	0.1%	0%	0.3%
Apr 24, 2024	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%	-0.1%
Mar 26, 2024	0.5%	0.4%	-0.3%	0.1%
Feb 27, 2024	-0.3%	0.2%	-0.1%	-0.5%
Jan 25, 2024	0.6%	0.2%	0.5%	0.4%
Dec 22, 2023	0.5%	0.1%	-0.3%	0.4%
Nov 22, 2023	0%	0.1%	0.2%	-0.1%
Oct 26, 2023	0.5%	0.2%	0.5%	0.3%
Sep 27, 2023	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	0.3%
Aug 24, 2023	0.5%	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
Jul 27, 2023	0.6%	0%	0.7%	0.6%
Jun 27, 2023	0.6%	-0.1%	-0.6%	0.7%
May 26, 2023	-0.2%	-0.1%	0.3%	-0.1%
Apr 26, 2023	0.3%	-0.2%	-0.3%	0.5%
Mar 24, 2023	0%	0.2%	0.4%	-0.2%
Feb 27, 2023	0.7%	0%	-0.4%	0.7%
Jan 26, 2023	-0.1%	-0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
Dec 23, 2022	0.2%	0%	0.1%	0.2%
Nov 23, 2022	0.5%	0%	-0.9%	0.5%
Oct 27, 2022	-0.5%	0.2%	0%	-0.7%
Sep 27, 2022	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Aug 24, 2022	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Jul 27, 2022	0.3%	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Jun 27, 2022	0.7%	0.3%	0.2%	0.4%
May 25, 2022	0.3%	0.6%	1.1%	-0.3%
Apr 26, 2022	1.1%	0.6%	-0.5%	0.5%
Mar 24, 2022	-0.6%	0.6%	0.8%	-1.2%
Feb 25, 2022	0.7%	0.4%	0.9%	0.3%
Jan 27, 2022	0.4%	0.4%	1.1%
Dec 23, 2021	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.2%
Nov 24, 2021	0.5%	0.5%	0.7%
Oct 27, 2021	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%
Sep 27, 2021	0.2%	0.5%	0.8%	-0.3%
Aug 25, 2021	0.7%	0.5%	0.6%	0.2%
Jul 27, 2021	0.3%	0.8%	0.5%	-0.5%
Jun 24, 2021	0.3%	0.8%	1.7%	-0.5%
May 27, 2021	1%	0.8%	3.2%	0.2%
Apr 26, 2021	1.6%	1.6%	-0.3%
Mar 24, 2021	-0.9%	0.6%	1.6%	-1.5%
Feb 25, 2021	1.4%	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%
Jan 27, 2021	0.7%	0.5%	0.8%	0.2%
Dec 23, 2020	0.4%	0.5%	1.9%	-0.1%
Nov 25, 2020	1.3%	0.5%	1.5%	0.8%
Oct 27, 2020	0.8%	0.4%	1%	0.4%
Sep 25, 2020	0.4%	1.2%	3.2%	-0.8%
Aug 26, 2020	2.4%	2%	4%	0.4%
Jul 27, 2020	3.3%	3.6%	3.6%	-0.3%
Jun 25, 2020	4%	2.5%	-8.2%	1.5%
May 28, 2020	-7.4%	-14%	-1.7%	6.6%
Apr 24, 2020	-0.2%	-5.8%	-0.7%	5.6%
Mar 25, 2020	-0.6%	-0.4%	0.6%	-0.2%
Feb 27, 2020	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%	0.7%
Jan 28, 2020	-0.1%	0.2%	-0.4%	-0.3%
Dec 23, 2019	0%	0.2%	0.3%	-0.2%
Nov 27, 2019	0.6%	0.1%	-0.4%	0.5%
Oct 24, 2019	-0.3%	-0.2%	0.3%	-0.1%
Sep 27, 2019	0.5%	0.2%	-0.5%	0.3%
Aug 26, 2019	-0.4%	0%	0.8%	-0.4%
Jul 25, 2019	1.2%	0.2%	0.5%	1%
Jun 26, 2019	0.3%	0.1%	-0.1%	0.2%
May 24, 2019	0%	0.2%	-0.5%	-0.2%
Apr 25, 2019	0.4%	0.2%	-0.2%	0.2%
Apr 02, 2019	0.1%	0.2%	-0.1%	-0.1%
Mar 13, 2019	-0.1%	0.1%	0.3%	-0.2%
Feb 21, 2019	0.1%	0.3%	-0.2%	-0.2%
Dec 21, 2018	-0.3%	0.3%	0.4%	-0.6%
Nov 21, 2018	0.1%	0.4%	-0.6%	-0.3%
Oct 25, 2018	0.1%	0.5%	0.3%	-0.4%
Sep 27, 2018	0.1%	0.5%	0.2%	-0.4%
Aug 24, 2018	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%	-0.3%
Jul 26, 2018	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	-0.1%
Jun 27, 2018	-0.3%	0.5%	1.9%	-0.8%
May 25, 2018	0.9%	0.5%	0.4%	0.4%
Apr 26, 2018	0%	0.5%	0.9%	-0.5%
Mar 23, 2018	1.2%	0.5%	-0.2%	0.7%
Feb 27, 2018	-0.3%	0.4%	0.7%	-0.7%
Jan 26, 2018	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
Dec 22, 2017	-0.1%	0.5%	1.3%	-0.6%
Nov 22, 2017	0.4%	0.5%	1.1%	-0.1%
Oct 25, 2017	0.7%	0.5%	0.7%	0.2%
Sep 27, 2017	0.2%	0.2%	0.8%
Aug 25, 2017	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
Jul 27, 2017	0.2%	0.4%	0.6%	-0.2%
Jun 26, 2017	0.1%	0.5%	-0.5%	-0.4%
May 26, 2017	-0.4%	0.5%	0.8%	-0.9%
Apr 27, 2017	-0.2%	0.4%	0.7%	-0.6%
Mar 24, 2017	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%	-0.1%
Feb 27, 2017	-0.2%	0.5%	0.9%	-0.7%
Jan 27, 2017	0.5%	0.5%	1%
Nov 23, 2016	1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.8%
Oct 27, 2016	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Sep 28, 2016	-0.4%	-0.4%	1.1%
Aug 25, 2016	1.5%	0.5%	-0.3%	1%
Jul 27, 2016	-0.5%	0.3%	-0.4%	-0.8%
Jun 24, 2016	-0.3%	0%	0.4%	-0.3%
May 26, 2016	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%
Apr 26, 2016	-0.2%	0.5%	-1.3%	-0.7%
Mar 24, 2016	-1%	-0.2%	1.2%	-0.8%
Feb 25, 2016	1.8%	0.2%	-0.7%	1.6%
Jan 28, 2016	-1.2%	-0.1%	-0.5%	-1.1%
Dec 23, 2015	-0.1%	0%	0.5%	-0.1%
Nov 25, 2015	0.5%	0.3%	-0.1%	0.2%
Oct 27, 2015	-0.4%	0%	-0.9%	-0.4%
Sep 24, 2015	0%	0.1%	0.4%	-0.1%
Aug 26, 2015	0.6%	0.4%	1%	0.2%
Jul 27, 2015	0.8%	0.5%	-0.1%	0.3%
Jun 23, 2015	0.5%	0.6%	-0.3%	-0.1%
May 26, 2015	0.5%	0.5%	0.6%