United States CB Consumer Confidence

Info

History

Chart

Impact:

High

Latest Release:

Date:

Surprise:

-1.5

USD

Actual:

Forecast: 87.5

Previous/Revision:

93.9

Period: Apr

Next Release:

Date:

Forecast: 84

Period: May

What Does It Measure?

The CB Consumer Confidence Index measures the degree of optimism that consumers have in the economy, specifically their expectations regarding future economic conditions. It primarily focuses on consumer sentiment related to employment opportunities, business conditions, and overall economic outlook, serving as a key indicator of consumer spending and economic health at the national level.

Frequency

The Consumer Confidence Index is released monthly, typically on the last Tuesday of each month, and includes both preliminary and final figures.

Why Do Traders Care?

Traders closely monitor the Consumer Confidence Index as it directly influences consumer spending, which is a major driver of economic growth. Higher-than-expected readings can lead to bullish sentiments in currencies and equities, while lower figures may prompt concerns about economic slowdown and bearish market reactions.

What Is It Derived From?

The index is derived from a monthly survey conducted among a sample of 5,000 households, focusing on respondents' perceptions of current and future economic conditions. The survey employs diffusion indices to capture sentiments regarding employment, income, and purchasing plans, with responses weighted to reflect population demographics.

Description

The CB Consumer Confidence Index provides insights into consumer attitudes and spending behavior by measuring expectations for the economy, thereby serving as a leading indicator for economic trends. The preliminary report, based on initial survey feedback, is crucial for informed market speculation, while the final report offers more comprehensive and accurate data that might adjust market perceptions.

Additional Notes

The Consumer Confidence Index is seen as a leading economic indicator, providing insights into future consumer demand and potentially influencing GDP growth. It is often compared with other sentiment indicators, such as the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and remains a vital aspect of understanding consumer behavior both domestically and in relation to global economic trends.

Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks

Higher than expected: Bullish for USD, Bullish for Stocks. Lower than expected: Bearish for USD, Bearish for Stocks. Hawkish tone: Signaling higher consumer confidence and spending, is usually good for the USD but bad for Stocks due to concerns about inflation impacting future growth.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the 'Actual' value differs enough from the forecast or if the 'Previous' value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the 'Actual' deviates from the forecast or there's a notable revision to the 'Previous' value.

Low Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there's an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
Actual deviated from Forecast on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
Actual deviated from Forcast on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise
Apr 29, 2025	86	87.5	93.9	-1.5
Mar 25, 2025	92.9	94	100.1	-1.1
Feb 25, 2025	98.3	102.5	105.3	-4.2
Jan 28, 2025	104.1	105.6	109.5	-1.5
Dec 23, 2024	104.7	113	112.8	-8.3
Nov 26, 2024	111.7	111.3	109.6	0.4
Oct 29, 2024	108.7	99.5	99.2	9.2
Sep 24, 2024	98.7	103.8	105.6	-5.1
Aug 27, 2024	103.3	100.7	101.9	2.6
Jul 30, 2024	100.3	99.7	97.8	0.6
Jun 25, 2024	100.4	100	101.3	0.4
May 28, 2024	102	95.9	97	6.1
Apr 30, 2024	97	104	103.1	-7
Mar 26, 2024	104.7	107	104.8	-2.3
Feb 27, 2024	106.7	115	110.9	-8.3
Jan 30, 2024	114.8	115	108	-0.2
Dec 20, 2023	110.7	104	101	6.7
Nov 28, 2023	102	101	99.1	1
Oct 31, 2023	102.6	100	104.3	2.6
Sep 26, 2023	103	105.5	108.7	-2.5
Aug 29, 2023	106.1	116	117	-9.9
Jul 25, 2023	117	111.8	110.1	5.2
Jun 27, 2023	109.7	104	102.5	5.7
May 30, 2023	102.3	99	103.7	3.3
Apr 25, 2023	101.3	104	104	-2.7
Mar 28, 2023	104.2	101	103.4	3.2
Feb 28, 2023	102.9	108.5	106	-5.6
Jan 31, 2023	107.1	109	109	-1.9
Dec 21, 2022	108.3	101	101.4	7.3
Nov 29, 2022	100.2	100	102.2	0.2
Oct 25, 2022	102.5	106.5	107.8	-4
Sep 27, 2022	108	104.5	103.6	3.5
Aug 30, 2022	103.2	97.7	95.3	5.5
Jul 26, 2022	95.7	97.2	98.7	-1.5
Jun 28, 2022	98.7	100.4	103.2	-1.7
May 31, 2022	106.4	103.9	108.6	2.5
Apr 26, 2022	107.3	108	107.6	-0.7
Mar 29, 2022	107.2	107	105.7	0.2
Feb 22, 2022	110.5	110	111.1	0.5
Jan 25, 2022	113.8	111.8	115.2	2
Dec 22, 2021	115.8	110.8	111.9	5
Nov 30, 2021	109.5	111	111.6	-1.5
Oct 26, 2021	113.8	108.3	109.8	5.5
Sep 28, 2021	109.3	114.5	115.2	-5.2
Aug 31, 2021	113.8	124	125.1	-10.2
Jul 27, 2021	129.1	123.9	128.9	5.2
Jun 29, 2021	127.3	119	120	8.3
May 25, 2021	117.2	119.2	117.5	-2
Apr 27, 2021	121.7	113	109	8.7
Mar 30, 2021	109.7	96.9	90.4	12.8
Feb 23, 2021	91.3	90	88.9	1.3
Jan 26, 2021	89.3	89	87.1	0.3
Dec 22, 2020	88.6	97	92.9	-8.4
Nov 24, 2020	96.1	98	101.4	-1.9
Oct 27, 2020	100.9	102	101.3	-1.1
Sep 29, 2020	101.8	89.5	86.3	12.3
Aug 25, 2020	84.8	93	91.7	-8.2
Jul 28, 2020	92.6	94.5	98.3	-1.9
Jun 30, 2020	98.1	91.8	85.9	6.3
May 26, 2020	86.6	87.5	85.7	-0.9
Apr 28, 2020	86.9	87.9	118.8	-1
Mar 31, 2020	120	110	132.6	10
Feb 25, 2020	130.7	132	130.4	-1.3
Jan 28, 2020	131.6	128	128.2	3.6
Dec 31, 2019	126.5	128.2	126.8	-1.7
Nov 26, 2019	125.5	127	126.1	-1.5
Oct 29, 2019	125.9	128	126.3	-2.1
Sep 24, 2019	125.1	133.5	134.2	-8.4
Aug 27, 2019	135.1	129.5	135.8	5.6
Jul 30, 2019	135.7	125	124.3	10.7
Jun 25, 2019	121.5	131.1	131.3	-9.6
May 28, 2019	134.1	130	129.2	4.1
Apr 30, 2019	129.2	126	124.2	3.2
Mar 26, 2019	124.1	132	131.4	-7.9
Feb 26, 2019	131.4	124.7	121.7	6.7
Jan 29, 2019	120.2	124.9	126.6	-4.7
Dec 27, 2018	128.1	133.7	136.4	-5.6
Nov 27, 2018	135.7	135.9	137.9	-0.2
Oct 30, 2018	137.9	136	135.3	1.9
Sep 25, 2018	138.4	132	134.7	6.4
Aug 28, 2018	133.4	126.7	127.9	6.7
Jul 31, 2018	127.4	126	127.1	1.4
Jun 26, 2018	126.4	128	128.8	-1.6
May 29, 2018	128	128	125.6
Apr 24, 2018	128.7	126	127	2.7
Mar 27, 2018	127.7	131	130	-3.3
Feb 27, 2018	130.8	126.2	124.3	4.6
Jan 30, 2018	125.4	123.1	123.1	2.3
Dec 27, 2017	122.1	128	128.6	-5.9
Nov 28, 2017	129.5	124	126.2	5.5
Oct 31, 2017	125.9	121	120.6	4.9
Sep 26, 2017	119.8	120	120.4	-0.2
Aug 29, 2017	122.9	120.3	120	2.6
Jul 25, 2017	121.1	116.5	117.3	4.6
Jun 27, 2017	118.9	116	117.6	2.9
May 30, 2017	117.9	119.8	119.4	-1.9
Apr 25, 2017	120.3	122.5	124.9	-2.2
Mar 28, 2017	125.6	114	116.1	11.6
Feb 28, 2017	114.8	111	111.6	3.8
Jan 31, 2017	111.8	113	113.3	-1.2
Dec 27, 2016	113.7	108.5	109.4	5.2
Nov 29, 2016	107.1	101.2	100.8	5.9
Oct 25, 2016	98.6	101	103.5	-2.4
Sep 27, 2016	104.1	99	101.8	5.1
Aug 30, 2016	101.1	97	96.7	4.1
Jul 26, 2016	97.3	95.9	97.4	1.4
Jun 28, 2016	98	93.3	92.4	4.7
May 31, 2016	92.6	96	94.2	-3.4
Apr 26, 2016	94.2	96	96.1	-1.8
Mar 29, 2016	96.2	94	94	2.2
Feb 23, 2016	92.2	97	97.8	-4.8
Jan 26, 2016	98.1	96.5	96.3	1.6
Dec 29, 2015	96.5	93.6	92.6	2.9
Nov 24, 2015	90.4	99.5	99.1	-9.1
Oct 27, 2015	97.6	103	102.6	-5.4
Sep 29, 2015	103	96.1	101.3	6.9
Aug 25, 2015	101.5	93.4	91	8.1
Jul 28, 2015	90.9	100	99.8	-9.1
Jun 30, 2015	101.4	97.2	94.6	4.2
May 26, 2015	95.4	95	94.3	0.4