United Kingdom GBP
United Kingdom Balance of Trade
影响: 
低的
低的最新发布:
Surprise:
GBP-0.996B
实际的:
£-3.696B
预报:
£-2.7B
Previous/Revision:
£-4.856B
Period:
5月 2025
下一个发布:
预报:
Period:
6月 2025
它测量什么？
英国贸易平衡衡量的是出口到英国的商品和服务的价值与进口到该国的商品和服务的价值之间的差额，明确反映了贸易动态。该指标主要关注贸易余额，评估出口、进口和整体经常账户等关键领域，负余额表示贸易赤字，正余额表示贸易顺差。
频率
贸易平衡每月发布，最初提供初步估计，随后发布反映最终数据的修订数字；通常在下个月的第二周发布。
交易者为何关心？
交易者监测贸易平衡，因为它对货币估值和经济健康具有重要影响，通过影响GBP相对于其他货币的强度，影响金融市场。贸易顺差可以增强货币和股票市场的表现，而赤字则可能导致对这两种资产的看跌情绪，使该指标对经济预测和投资决策至关重要。
它是如何得出的？
贸易平衡的计算基于从各种来源收集的数据，包括海关报告、商业调查和贸易统计，数字来自国家统计局。这种全面的方法确保准确性，贸易数字经过季节性波动和通胀措施的调整，以反映真实的市场状况。
描述
贸易平衡是一个重要的经济指标，通常报告为净数字，突显英国相对于其贸易伙伴的贸易状况。每月的波动反映了对英国商品和服务需求的变化，以及全球经济条件的变化；因此，它作为经济表现的领先指标，影响政策决策和市场预期。
附加说明
该指标主要被视为一个趋同经济测度，因为它反映了当前的交易条件，并能提供对未来经济表现的洞察。与其他经济指标（如GDP增长和制造业产出）的比较至关重要，因为它们描绘了英国经济景观及其国际竞争力的更广泛图景。
高于预期或低于预期对货币和股票的影响
高于预期：对GBP看涨，对股票看涨。
低于预期：对GBP看跌，对股票看跌。
图例
高潜在影响
此事件具有显著影响市场的潜力。如果“实际值”与预测值有足够大的差异，或者“先前值”被大幅修正，这表明市场可能会迅速调整以适应新信息。
中等潜在影响
此事件可能会导致市场适度波动，尤其是当“实际值”偏离预测值，或者“先前值”出现显著修正时。
低潜在影响
此事件不太可能影响市场定价，除非出现意外惊喜或对先前数据的重大修正。
意外情况 - 货币可能走强
实际偏离预测，涉及中高影响事件，历史上可能使货币走强.
意外情况 - 货币可能走弱
实际偏离预测，涉及中高影响事件，历史上可能使货币走弱.
重大意外 - 货币更有可能走强
“实际值”相较于“预测值”偏差超过历史偏差的75%在中等或高影响事件中，可能会导致该货币走强。.
重大意外 - 货币更有可能走弱
“实际值”相较于“预测值”偏差超过历史偏差的75%在中等或高影响事件中，可能会导致该货币走弱
| 绿色数字 | 比预测更有利于该货币（或先前修正更好） |
| 红色数字 | 比预测更不利于该货币（或先前修正更好） |
| 鹰派 | 支持提高利率以对抗通胀，加强货币但对股票形成压力。 |
| 鸽派 | 支持降低利率以促进增长，削弱货币但利好股票。 |
| 日期 | 时间 | 实际的 | 预报 | 以前的 | 意外情况 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
£-3.696B |
£-2.7B | £-4.856B |
£-0.996B | ||
£-1.956B |
£-1.1B | £0.301B |
£-0.856B | ||
£-2.64B |
£-3.5B | £-2.82B |
£0.86B | ||
£-2.82B |
£-1.7B | £-4.35B |
£-1.12B | ||
£-4.76B |
£-3.9B | £-5.01B |
£-0.86B | ||
£-3.72B |
£-3.4B | £-3.46B |
£-0.32B | ||
£-3.46B |
£-0.4B | £-2.015B |
£-3.06B | ||
£-0.955B |
£-6.7B | £-4.712B |
£5.745B | ||
£-7.514B |
£-4.8B | £-5.324B |
£-2.714B | ||
£-5.324B |
£-1.1B | £-5.77B |
£-4.224B | ||
£-4.894B |
£-4.3B | £-6.423B |
£-0.594B | ||
£-6.75B |
£-1.25B | £-1.098B |
£-5.5B | ||
£-1.098B |
£-2.1B | £-1.478B |
£1.002B | ||
£-2.291B |
£-3.7B | £-2.205B |
£1.409B | ||
£-3.129B |
£-2.3B | £-2.603B |
£-0.829B | ||
£-2.603B |
£-1.9B | £-3.723B |
£-0.703B | ||
£-1.408B |
£-4B | £-3.198B |
£2.592B | ||
£-4.48B |
£-1.7B | £-1.574B |
£-2.78B | ||
£-1.574B |
£-3.6B | £-2.697B |
£2.026B | ||
£-3.415B |
£-3.6B | £-1.418B |
£0.185B | ||
£-3.446B |
£-4.2B | £-4.787B |
£0.754B | ||
£-4.787B |
£-4.6B | £-7.657B |
£-0.187B | ||
£-6.578B |
£-2.2B | £-2.463B |
£-4.378B | ||
£-1.518B |
£-2.6B | £-2.864B |
£1.082B | ||
£-2.864B |
£-4.8B | £-3.354B |
£1.936B | ||
£-4.805B |
£-4.9B | £-3.488B |
£0.095B | ||
£-5.861B |
£-6.1B | £-7.15B |
£0.239B | ||
£-7.15B |
£-2.8B | £-2.306B |
£-4.35B | ||
£-1.802B |
£-1.9B | £1.498B |
£0.098B | ||
£-1.785B |
£-3.2B | £-3.135B |
£1.415B | ||
£-3.135B |
£-6.8B | £-4.676B |
£3.665B | ||
£-7.08B |
£-8.4B | £-5.445B |
£1.32B | ||
£-7.793B |
£-11.7B | £-11.387B |
£3.907B | ||
£-11.387B |
£-9.6B | £-9.119B |
£-1.787B | ||
£-9.747B |
£-9.3B | £-9.811B |
£-0.447B | ||
£-8.503B |
£-11.8B | £-11.552B |
£3.297B | ||
£-11.552B |
£-10.6B | £-9.195B |
£-0.952B | ||
£-9.261B |
£-11.5B | £-12.838B |
£2.239B | ||
£-16.159B |
£-3.7B | £-2.34B |
£-12.459B
|
||
£-2.34B |
£-3.1B | £-2.59B |
£0.76B | ||
£0.626B |
£-2.7B | £0.151B |
£3.326B | ||
£-2.027B |
£-3.2B | £-2.8B |
£1.173B | ||
£-2.8B |
£-3.4B | £-1.9B |
£0.6B | ||
£-3.7B |
£-2.8B | £-2.9B |
£-0.9B | ||
£-3.1B |
£-2B | £-2.5B |
£-1.1B | ||
£-2.5B |
£-2.2B | £-0.2B |
£-0.3B | ||
£0.9B |
£-1.4B | £-1.6B |
£2.3B | ||
£-0.9B |
£-3.2B | £-2B |
£2.3B | ||
£-2B |
£-6.1B | £-0.9B |
£4.1B | ||
£-7.1B |
£-2.2B | £-3.4B |
£-4.9B
|
||
£-1.6B |
£-4.8B | £-6.2B |
£3.2B | ||
£-6.2B |
£-4.2B | £-6.6B |
£-2B | ||
£-5B |
£-1.2B | £-2.3B |
£-3.8B
|
||
£-1.7B |
£0.5B | £0.6B |
£-2.2B | ||
£0.6B |
£-1B | £2.9B |
£1.6B | ||
£1.4B |
£0.6B | £1.7B |
£0.8B | ||
£1.1B |
£1.2B | £3.9B |
£-0.1B | ||
£5.3B |
£2.8B | £7.7B |
£2.5B | ||
£4.3B |
£-0.8B | £2.3B |
£5.1B
|
||
£0.31B |
£-6.2B | £-3.96B |
£6.51B
|
||
£-6.7B |
£-1.7B | £-1.5B |
£-5B
|
||
£-2.8B |
£2.2B | £2.4B |
£-5B
|
||
£4.2B |
£-3.7B | £6.3B |
£7.9B
|
||
£7.715B |
£-2.6B | £1.821B |
£10.315B
|
||
£4.03B |
£-3.2B | £-1.34B |
£7.23B
|
||
£-5.19B |
£-3B | £-1.92B |
£-2.19B
|
||
£-3.36B |
£-2.2B | £-1.76B |
£-1.16B | ||
£-1.546B |
£-3.8B | £-1.681B |
£2.254B
|
||
£-0.219B |
£-2.3B | £-0.132B |
£2.081B
|
||
£1.779B |
£-2.9B | £-2.002B |
£4.679B
|
||
£-2.324B |
£-2.6B | £-3.716B |
£0.276B | ||
£-2.74B |
£-3.2B | £-6.151B |
£0.46B | ||
£-5.408B |
£-2.7B | £-6.219B |
£-2.708B
|
||
£-4.86B |
£-1.2B | £-5.345B |
£-3.66B
|
||
£-3.825B |
£-3.5B | £-3.448B |
£-0.325B | ||
£-3.229B |
£-1.9B | £-3.615B |
£-1.329B | ||
£-2.904B |
£-2.2B | £-3.037B |
£-0.704B | ||
£-3.3B |
£-2.6B | £-2.331B |
£-0.7B | ||
£-0.027B |
£-1.1B | £-2.101B |
£1.073B | ||
£-1.274B |
£-1.15B | £-0.572B |
£-0.124B | ||
£-0.111B |
£-2.1B | £-0.942B |
£1.989B
|
||
£-1.861B |
£-2.5B | £-3.141B |
£0.639B | ||
£-2.79B |
£-2.2B | £-3.087B |
£-0.59B | ||
£-5.28B |
£-2.5B | £-3.22B |
£-2.78B
|
||
£-3.091B |
£-2B | £-1.176B |
£-1.091B | ||
£-0.965B |
£-2.6B | £-2.949B |
£1.635B | ||
£-3.074B |
£-3.8B | £-2.492B |
£0.726B | ||
£-4.896B |
£-2.4B | £-3.65B |
£-2.496B
|
||
£-2.804B |
£-2.2B | £-2.27B |
£-0.604B | ||
£-1.405B |
£-3B | £-1.1B |
£1.595B | ||
£-2.75B |
£-4.6B | £-3.46B |
£1.85B
|
||
£-5.63B |
£-2.8B | £-4.24B |
£-2.83B
|
||
£-2.87B |
£-4.7B | £-2.91B |
£1.83B
|
||
£-4.56B |
£-2.5B | £-2.52B |
£-2.06B
|
||
£-3.07B |
£-1.8B | £-2.12B |
£-1.27B | ||
£-2.05B |
£-3.6B | £-3.9B |
£1.55B
|
||
£-4.9B |
£-4.4B | £-2.65B |
£-0.5B | ||
£-3.66B |
£-3.2B | £-2.98B |
£-0.46B | ||
£-1.97B |
£-3.8B | £-2.03B |
£1.83B
|
||
£-3.3B |
£-2.7B | £-3.56B |
£-0.6B | ||
£-4.17B |
£-3.78B | £-1.55B |
£-0.39B | ||
£-1.97B |
£-3.4B | £-5.81B |
£1.43B | ||
£-5.2B |
£-1.7B | £-3.77B |
£-3.5B
|
||
£-4.7B |
£-3.1B | £-2.2B |
£-1.6B
|
||
£-4.5B |
£-5.6B |
||||
£-5.1B |
£-4.2B |
||||
£-2.263B |
£-1.95B |
||||
£-3.294B |
£-3.532B |
||||
£-3.83B |
£-4.3B |
||||
£-4.84B |
£-5.23B |
||||
£-3.46B |
£-3B | £-3.69B |
£-0.46B | ||
£-2.71B |
£-4.03B |
||||
£-3.17B |
£-3.51B |
||||
£-4.14B |
£-1.07B |
||||
£-1.353B |
£-2.905B |
||||
£-3.27B |
£-4.4B |
||||
£-3.37B |
£-0.82B |
||||
£-1.6B |
£-0.6B | £-0.9B |
£-1B | ||
£-0.393B |
£-1.4B | £-1.834B |
£1.007B | ||
£-1.202B |
£-2.3B | £-3.093B |
£1.098B
|
||
£-2.817B |
£-2.95B | £-3.318B |
£0.133B |
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