United States 20-Year Bond Auction
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高潜在影响
此事件具有显著影响市场的潜力。如果“实际值”与预测值有足够大的差异,或者“先前值”被大幅修正,这表明市场可能会迅速调整以适应新信息。
中等潜在影响
此事件可能会导致市场适度波动,尤其是当“实际值”偏离预测值,或者“先前值”出现显著修正时。
低潜在影响
此事件不太可能影响市场定价,除非出现意外惊喜或对先前数据的重大修正。
意外情况 - 货币可能走强
实际偏离预测,涉及中高影响事件,历史上可能使货币走强.
意外情况 - 货币可能走弱
实际偏离预测,涉及中高影响事件,历史上可能使货币走弱.
重大意外 - 货币更有可能走强
“实际值”相较于“预测值”偏差超过历史偏差的75%在中等或高影响事件中,可能会导致该货币走强。.
重大意外 - 货币更有可能走弱
“实际值”相较于“预测值”偏差超过历史偏差的75%在中等或高影响事件中,可能会导致该货币走弱
绿色数字 | 比预测更有利于该货币(或先前修正更好) |
红色数字 | 比预测更不利于该货币(或先前修正更好) |
鹰派 | 支持提高利率以对抗通胀,加强货币但对股票形成压力。 |
鸽派 | 支持降低利率以促进增长,削弱货币但利好股票。 |
日期 | 时间 | 实际的 | 预报 | 以前的 | 意外情况 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.047% |
4.81% |
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4.81% |
4.632% |
||||
4.632% |
4.83% |
||||
4.83% |
4.9% |
||||
4.9% |
4.686% |
||||
4.686% |
4.68% |
||||
4.68% |
4.59% |
||||
4.59% |
4.039% |
||||
4.039% |
4.16% |
||||
4.16% |
4.466% |
||||
4.466% |
4.452% |
||||
4.452% |
4.635% |
||||
4.635% |
4.818% |
||||
4.818% |
4.542% |
||||
4.542% |
4.595% |
||||
4.595% |
4.423% |
||||
4.423% |
4.213% |
||||
4.213% |
4.78% |
||||
4.78% |
5.245% |
||||
5.245% |
4.592% |
||||
4.592% |
4.499% |
||||
4.499% |
4.036% |
||||
4.036% |
4.01% |
||||
4.01% |
3.954% |
||||
3.954% |
3.92% |
||||
3.92% |
3.909% |
||||
3.909% |
3.977% |
||||
3.977% |
3.678% |
||||
3.678% |
3.935% |
||||
3.935% |
4.072% |
||||
4.072% |
4.395% |
||||
4.395% |
3.82% |
||||
3.82% |
3.38% |
||||
3.38% |
3.42% |
||||
3.42% |
3.488% |
||||
3.488% |
3.29% |
||||
3.29% |
3.095% |
||||
3.095% |
2.651% |
||||
2.651% |
2.4% |
||||
2.4% |
2.21% |
||||
2.1% |
1.795% |
||||
1.795% |
1.85% |
||||
1.85% |
1.89% |
||||
1.89% |
2.12% |
||||
2.12% |
2.144% |
||||
2.286% |
2.144% |
||||
2.144% |
2.29% |
||||
2.29% |
1.92% |
||||
1.92% |
1.657% |
||||
1.657% |
1.47% |
||||
1.47% |
1.422% |
||||
1.422% |
1.37% |
||||
1.37% |
1.213% |
||||
1.213% |
1.185% |
||||
1.185% |
1.059% |
||||
1.059% |
1.314% |
||||
1.314% |
1.22% |
||||
1.22% |